No baby boom POPCOM projects slowest population rise in 75 years photo POPCOM
Population Control

No baby boom: POPCOM projects slowest population rise in 75 years

Dec 28, 2021, 6:10 AM
James Veloso

James Veloso

Writer/Columnist

According to the Commission on Population and Development (POPCOM), this annual “natural increase” is the lowest since the period between 1946 and 1947, when the population grew by 254,000.

FROM a rapid population growth in past years, the Philippine population is expected to achieve a historic record in 2021, as the total number of Filipinos is projected to increase by only 324,000 for the entire year—just a 0.3 percent increase compared to 2020.

According to the Commission on Population and Development (POPCOM), this annual “natural increase” is the lowest since the period between 1946 and 1947, when the population grew by 254,000.

As a result, Filipinos will number 109,991,095 at the end of 2021, lower by 2 million than earlier projections based on a 1.63-percent population growth rate or PGR.

The natural increase in population, or natural population change, refers to the projection based on the number of births minus deaths in a particular time period.

POPCOM made the computations based on the Philippine Statistics Authority’s (PSA) vital statistics preliminary reports for the period spanning January 2020 to August 2021.

POPCOM also noted that the natural increase in population in 2020 was 914,797 with reference to PSA’s vital statistics, which placed the population at the end of 2020 at 109,667,216.

The natural increase in population that year was 0.79 percent.

According to Population and Development Undersecretary Dr. Juan Perez III, POPCOM executive director, the current statistics indicate a growing awareness among Filipino couples on family planning methods.

“Couples in growing numbers continue to avail of family planning commodities and services in all regions of the country, with 8 million users of modern family planning methods in 2020—an addition of about 500,000 from 2019,” he explained.

POPCOM’s executive director also emphasized that the last two years of low increases in population provide opportunities of attaining a more stable population that can support socioeconomic development at the national and household levels if integrated population and development interventions are sustained.

This demographic situation, he cautioned, should be appreciated vis-à-vis the pandemic’s effect that has caused rather unusual fertility behaviors, such as delay in family formation, couples’ unions and increasing contraceptive usage, which need to be investigated further.

Perez also noted that the low 2020-2021 population growth enables a greater chance for the country and households to recover from the Covid-19 outbreak, given the national and local governments’ increased capabilities in providing quality services to Filipinos.

The POPCOM chief also said that the agency’s projected population for 2021 does not yet cover international migration during the year, and that the civil registration data as reported by PSA is also subject to underreporting and late reporting.

POPCOM, he assured, will update this projection as soon as data becomes available.

Tags: #PopulationCommission, #populationgrowth, #familyplanning


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