Multiple factors such as the ongoing war in Ukraine by Russia, the artificial production shortfall of crude oil which brought up prices of crude globally, the supply chain gaps and non-stop pump price increases that triggered high food and non-food inflation, have led to skyrocketing prices of almost all goods.
The continuing war of Russia in Ukraine had sent fuel and food prices up globally, aggravated by the artificial short production/supply of crude oil which made food (meat, fish and other foodstuff), utilities and fuel prices go skyrocketing.
The rate of increase in prices of goods in the Philippines jumped to the top end of the government’s target band as Russia’s attack on Ukraine sent oil and commodity prices soaring.
The Philippine Statistics Authority on Tuesday, April 5, reported that inflation rose to 4 percent in March, higher than the 3 percent recorded in the first two months of 2022.
Year-to-date, inflation is averaging at 3.4 percent.
Skyrocketing oil prices are to blame, as pump prices rose for 11 straight weeks until late March. Higher transport costs, as expected, rippled through other commodities.
Food inflation
Food inflation jumped to 2.6 percent, driven mainly by meat (2.9 percent) and fish and seafood (4.3percent).
Electricity costs shot up 18 percent, while liquefied petroleum gas surged 26.5 percent.
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Transport inflation hit 10.3 percent, driven by gasoline and diesel prices jumping by 36.7 percent and 58 percent, respectively, reported Rappler.
Inflation in Metro Manila went up to 3.4 percent in March from 1.9 percent in February. In areas outside the capital region, inflation rose to 4.1 percent from 3.4 percent.
Intervention
The government has partially distributed fuel vouchers to public utility vehicle drivers to somewhat dampen the impact. But distribution was stopped on March 25 because of the ban on election spending, imposed by the Commission on Election.
Aside from fuel subsidies, the Philippine government’s economic team is looking at improving the supply of goods through tariff reductions and imports, and further opening up the economy to cool down inflation.
“We have been proactively monitoring the impact of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. As early as March 7, the Economic Development Cluster (EDC) has already proposed interventions to manage the impact on the economy and the people,” said Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Karl Chua.
Among the interventions the EDC proposed are:
1. Expanding supply and reducing prices of pork by extending the lower tariff of 15% in-quota and 25% out-quota with minimum access volume of 200,000 metric tons until December 2022
2. Accelerating the release of imported pork from cold storage
3. Passing the proposed livestock development and competitiveness law and pursuing livestock value chain reform to address rising corn and feeds prices
4. Accelerating the release of sanitary and phytosanitary import clearances from the National Meat Inspection Service’s cold storage warehouses to push up chicken inventory
5. Removing all non-tariff barriers
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas has raised its inflation forecast for 2022 from 3.4 percent to 3.7 percent and maintained the 2 percent to 4 percent target for the year.
Tags: #UkrainewarbyRussia, #shortproductionofcrude, #foodandnon-foodinflation, #inflation, #economy